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February 2026 Market Insights by StoneX
Key Insights
Historical Performance:
- February has shown mediocre performance for U.S. stocks, averaging a return of +0.1% over the last 35 years.
- The S&P 500 began 2026 positively, rising about 1.3% as earnings season kicked off.
Volatility Trends:
- February typically sees increased volatility, with the VIX rising by an average of +5.5% since 1990.
Sector Rotation:
- The momentum of AI stocks has been waning, prompting a shift back to traditional sectors as investors seek value.
Recommendations List
- Focus on Financials:
Look for undervalued bank stocks. Consider investing in:
- Bank of America (BAC)
- Capital One Financial (COF)
- PNC Financial (PNC)
- Explore Industrials:
Capital expenditures and infrastructure demand are likely to rise. Consider:
- Boeing (BA)
- Union Pacific (UNP)
- Honeywell (HON)
- Invest in Utilities:
Increased demand from data centers presents opportunities. Consider:
- Exelon (EXC)
- Pacific Gas & Electric (PCG)
- Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)
- Monitor Oil Prices: Keep an eye on oil market developments, particularly regarding geopolitical tensions.
- Stay Alert for Earnings Reports: Watch for earnings from major companies like Alphabet, Amazon, and Nvidia, which could impact market sentiment.
Key terms
Fibonacci retracement levels: Fibonacci retracement analysis can be used to confirm an entry-level, target a take profit as well as determine your stop loss level.
Candlestick patterns: Candlestick patterns are key indicators on financial charts, offering insights into market sentiment and price movements. These patterns emerge from the open, high, low, and close prices of a security within a given period and are crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Community Corner
Best Winter Stocks according to portfoliopilot.com
- HLT - Hilton Worldwide
- WMT - Walmart, Inc.
- WHR - Whirlpool Corp.
- UA - Under Armor Inc.
- NKE - Nike Inc.
- DKS - DICK'S Sporting Goods
- DECK - Deckers Outdoor Corp.
- CPB - Campbell Soup Co.
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Resources
NerdWallet's Top Investing Platforms of 2025
- J.P. Morgan
- Public
- Robinhood
- InteractiveBrokers
- SoFi
- Webull
- Charles Schwab